EPA Projections: Ireland to Miss 2030 Emissions Reduction Target by Wide Margin (epa.ie)

• Ireland's 2030 national target of 51% reduction is projected to be missed, with only 25% under best-case additional measures.
• Second carbon budget (2026–2030) to be exceeded by 53–81 Mt CO2eq even with additional measures.
• Electricity sector leads reductions (55–61%), but LULUCF emissions rise sharply.

"The EPA's 2026 greenhouse gas projections show Ireland is not on track to meet its 2030 targets. Under existing measures, emissions will fall only 13% from 2018 levels, far short of the 51% target. With additional planned measures, a 25% reduction is projected. The first carbon budget (2021–2025) is likely to be met, but the second budget (2026–2030) will be exceeded by 53–81 Mt CO2eq. Key sectors like agriculture and transport show insufficient progress, while electricity generation sees the largest reductions."