ECB Macroeconomic Projection Database Winter 2026 Update (data.ecb.europa.eu)
0xBASE INTEL BRIEF
- ECB released Winter 2026 MPD update on 19 March 2026, covering 5,962 time series.
- Euro area real GDP quarterly growth projected at 0.3% for Q4 2028.
- Euro area HICP food inflation projected at 2.3% in 2028; core HICP at 2.1%.
- General government budget balance for Euro area at -3.6% of GDP in 2028.
- Ireland included with 146 series; individual country data available via filters.
"The European Central Bank updated its Macroeconomic Projection Database (MPD) on March 19, 2026, with the Winter/March 2026 exercise. The database includes annual and quarterly time series for Euro area and individual countries, covering real GDP, HICP inflation, budget balances, exchange rates, and trade data up to 2028. Ireland is among the 20+ geographical areas with 146 series. Key Euro area projections: annual real GDP growth 0.3% (Q4 2028), HICP food inflation 2.3% (2028), general government budget balance -3.6% of GDP (2028)."
#Winter 2026 projections
#Euro area macroeconomics
#ECB data portal
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